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Trader leaderboard/rferf4343f

rferf4343f

0x5e2ff2f8e313d2fa09882018d4cc53ccffddf9ba
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$150
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-10.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
18%
196W / 910L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
18%
196W / 910L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
1,107
across 378 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.40
avg win $13 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.79
$574 won / $724 lost
Reward / Risk
5.85
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $13,584 · all-time $1,724,007

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 33.8% 4,571W/8,958L 4341 $81,208
⚽ Sports 58.8% 539W/377L 415 $6,158
₿ Crypto 52.9% 18W/16L 30 $66
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/9L 4 $3
🎬 Culture 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

28 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Team Liquid make a roster change before September? No 5 0.855 $4.28 $0.07 +1.8%
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes 8 0.480 $3.86 $1.61 +71.4%
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No 5 0.715 $3.70 $0.23 +6.7%
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs Betclic Apogee Esports 6 0.575 $3.51 $0.03 +0.9%
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No 5 0.645 $3.38 $0.13 +4.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 5AM ET Up 5 0.605 $3.02 $0.27 +10.0%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner GenOne 5 0.570 $2.85 $0.05 +1.8%
Will Chattanooga Red Wolves SC win on 2026-08-01? Yes 5 0.500 $2.53 $-0.40 -13.7%
Will Spokane Velocity FC win on 2026-08-01? No 5 0.501 $2.50 $-1.84 -42.4%
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? Down 5 0.460 $2.30 $0.40 +21.0%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs GenOne 5 0.330 $1.65 $-1.10 -40.0%
Will Team Liquid make a roster change before September? Yes 11 0.145 $1.54 $-1.01 -39.6%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes 14 0.097 $1.38 $0.68 +96.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 15 0.085 $1.27 $-0.23 -15.0%
Chattanooga Red Wolves SC vs. Spokane Velocity FC: O/U 2.5 Over 2 0.452 $1.06 $-0.66 -38.5%
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage ALKA 7 0.125 $0.89 $-0.11 -10.7%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 25 0.029 $0.74 $0.11 +18.0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 50 0.015 $0.72 $0.02 +3.6%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 11 0.065 $0.72 $-0.17 -18.7%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 20 0.035 $0.69 $0.07 +11.3%
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 15 0.045 $0.67 $-1.11 -62.5%
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 20 0.033 $0.65 $0.11 +20.4%
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 20 0.032 $0.63 $-0.21 -25.0%
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Yes 7 0.085 $0.55 $-0.49 -46.9%
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes 5 0.095 $0.50 $-0.40 -44.1%