| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.830 |
$83.00 |
$-0.80 |
-1.0% |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? |
No |
80 |
0.980 |
$78.36 |
$4.13 |
+5.6% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
60 |
0.963 |
$57.74 |
$0.37 |
+0.6% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.820 |
$41.00 |
$0.70 |
+1.7% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
30 |
0.987 |
$29.59 |
$1.57 |
+5.6% |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
Yes |
30 |
0.970 |
$29.09 |
$0.07 |
+0.3% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
30 |
0.946 |
$28.38 |
$0.15 |
+0.5% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.925 |
$27.75 |
$0.45 |
+1.6% |
| Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.905 |
$27.15 |
$0.75 |
+2.8% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
112 |
0.177 |
$19.95 |
$-45.05 |
-69.3% |
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? |
Yes |
20 |
0.976 |
$19.51 |
$0.37 |
+1.9% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
30 |
0.643 |
$19.30 |
$-3.59 |
-15.7% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.625 |
$18.75 |
$0.75 |
+4.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
160 |
0.115 |
$18.40 |
$-14.60 |
-44.2% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31? |
Yes |
20 |
0.919 |
$18.39 |
$-0.91 |
-4.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.905 |
$18.11 |
$2.90 |
+19.1% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.875 |
$17.50 |
$0.50 |
+2.9% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.845 |
$16.90 |
$-0.70 |
-4.0% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.839 |
$16.78 |
$1.49 |
+9.7% |
| Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
11 |
0.971 |
$10.61 |
$0.05 |
+0.5% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
10 |
0.968 |
$9.68 |
$-0.13 |
-1.4% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.957 |
$9.56 |
$0.46 |
+5.0% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.954 |
$9.54 |
$0.29 |
+3.1% |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.947 |
$9.46 |
$0.86 |
+10.1% |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.910 |
$9.10 |
$0.80 |
+9.6% |