n1331
0x5df7904e44150b18bee041783d5efb17bc1c780d
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$537
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-45.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
34%
12W / 23L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
30%
14W / 33L
Trades (30d)
47
across 16 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$48.83
avg win $13 · loss $100
Profit Factor
0.11
$64 won / $601 lost
Reward / Risk
0.13
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,619 · all-time $1,337,077
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
127 |
0.601 |
$76.09 |
$13.58 |
+21.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
116 |
0.038 |
$4.48 |
$-0.52 |
-10.5% |