0x5dDde3B22F24AE9bf2de418882437F84D1990014-1765425723126
0x5ddde3b22f24ae9bf2de418882437f84d1990014
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$40
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 1L · 88 open
Win Return (30d)
99%
88W / 1L
Trades (30d)
89
across 4 markets · ~22 per market
EV / position
−$0.06
· loss $0
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $0 lost
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7,526 · all-time $506,183
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
6,609 |
0.625 |
$4,130.90 |
$-600.59 |
-12.7% |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
24,883 |
0.002 |
$37.32 |
$-40.16 |
-51.8% |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
15,335 |
0.002 |
$23.00 |
$-13.69 |
-37.3% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.655 |
$13.10 |
$-1.60 |
-10.9% |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
114 |
0.105 |
$12.02 |
$-2.16 |
-15.3% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
Yes |
107 |
0.076 |
$8.16 |
$0.44 |
+5.6% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
110 |
0.040 |
$4.34 |
$-3.31 |
-43.2% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
Yes |
47 |
0.085 |
$3.99 |
$0.73 |
+22.3% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
35 |
0.114 |
$3.97 |
$-12.82 |
-76.3% |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.002 |
$1.50 |
$-0.50 |
-25.0% |