Log in
Trader leaderboard/dm64um8hvquy

dm64um8hvquy

0x5d81a9f3d4eccec8f5d1724868cb9e984e1d360e
PnL (30d)
−$14
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
78%
301W / 83L · 162 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
349W / 197L
Trades (30d)
546
across 45 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
−$0.48
avg win $1 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.62
$23 won / $37 lost
Reward / Risk
0.33
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $13 · all-time $46,088

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 78.4% 301W/83L 45 $359
₿ Crypto 5 $5
🏛 Politics 2 $32

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

29 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes 344 0.155 $53.31 $-196.69 -78.7%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 28 0.964 $27.43 $2.09 +8.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 27 0.775 $20.95 $6.85 +48.6%
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No 14 0.988 $13.49 $1.06 +8.5%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 15 0.765 $11.69 $2.39 +25.7%
Iran Nuke before 2027? No 10 0.943 $9.40 $0.68 +7.8%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 9 0.945 $8.71 $1.79 +25.8%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 9 0.903 $8.04 $4.64 +136.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 8 0.845 $6.90 $1.02 +17.3%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 7 0.935 $6.82 $0.78 +12.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.925 $5.94 $0.48 +8.8%
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.905 $4.58 $0.54 +13.5%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 10 0.422 $4.28 $-1.10 -20.4%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 2 0.972 $2.35 $0.19 +8.9%
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 2 0.955 $2.24 $0.11 +5.2%
SBF released from custody in 2026? No 2 0.956 $1.91 $0.17 +9.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? No 3 0.635 $1.65 $0.53 +47.7%
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No 2 0.955 $1.58 $0.11 +7.2%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 22 0.065 $1.45 $-2.80 -65.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 3 0.535 $1.36 $-0.04 -3.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 3 0.335 $1.13 $0.02 +1.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 5 0.225 $1.08 $-0.50 -31.8%
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No 2 0.675 $1.05 $-0.21 -16.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? No 1 0.695 $1.02 $-0.11 -9.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 2 0.355 $0.63 $-0.06 -9.0%