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Trader leaderboard/OkaneKasegu

OkaneKasegu

0x5d748cf9e4f90dcbf26c25c7ed1a9c741e41ee45
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2,352
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$317
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-100.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 36L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
8%
3W / 36L
Trades (30d)
39
across 2 markets · ~20 per market
EV / position
−$2,352.33
· loss $2,352
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $2,352 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$2,352
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $4,019,384

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 14.9% 10W/57L 14 $8,762
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/36L 1 $2,352
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/36L 1 $2,352

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

71 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 25,000 0.816 $20,387.50 $7,887.50 +63.1%
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No 6,610 0.765 $5,056.99 $-3.04 -0.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 25,000 0.184 $4,612.50 $-7,887.50 -63.1%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 4,400 0.935 $4,114.33 $816.13 +24.7%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 4,000 0.963 $3,850.00 $590.01 +18.1%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 5,998 0.555 $3,328.98 $359.96 +12.1%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 3,000 0.976 $2,928.00 $-27.00 -0.9%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 4,000 0.675 $2,700.00 $140.00 +5.5%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 3,506 0.675 $2,366.87 $-209.38 -8.1%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 2,361 0.980 $2,312.39 $344.23 +17.5%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No 3,199 0.485 $1,551.64 $199.98 +14.8%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 1,951 0.625 $1,219.27 $717.72 +143.1%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No 1,739 0.515 $895.62 $-95.65 -9.6%
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes 952 0.900 $856.94 $66.65 +8.4%
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes 1,217 0.515 $626.80 $-74.11 -10.6%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 2,152 0.278 $597.09 $315.74 +112.2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 4,294 0.135 $577.58 $165.81 +40.3%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 5,000 0.090 $452.50 $342.50 +311.4%
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No 1,000 0.420 $419.99 $-180.00 -30.0%
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No 1,013 0.410 $415.17 $-30.50 -6.8%
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes 1,000 0.410 $409.99 $-30.00 -6.8%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 363 0.989 $358.53 $4.17 +1.2%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 2,273 0.146 $333.05 $251.20 +306.9%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 206 0.991 $204.32 $3.40 +1.7%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 450 0.445 $200.25 $69.75 +53.4%