PnL (30d)

−$36

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

25%

1W / 3L · 11 open

Win Return (30d)

40%

6W / 9L

Trades (30d)

15

across 11 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$8.92

avg win $4 · loss $13

Profit Factor

0.10

$4 won / $40 lost

Reward / Risk

0.31

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	25.0% 1W/3L	11	$3,041
🏛 Politics	—	1	$552

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	618	0.888	$549.42	$-2.09	-0.4%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	361	0.865	$312.66	$12.65	+4.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	305	0.615	$187.74	$-48.26	-20.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	135	0.984	$133.19	$3.18	+2.4%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	96	0.991	$94.89	$1.13	+1.2%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	150	0.405	$60.75	$-0.75	-1.2%