PnL (30d)

−$84

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$39

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-49.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

13%

5W / 33L · 11 open

Win Return (30d)

10%

5W / 44L

Trades (30d)

49

across 9 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$11.97

avg win $18 · loss $24

Profit Factor

0.30

$35 won / $119 lost

Reward / Risk

0.74

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$224

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	13.2% 5W/33L	9	$216
🏛 Politics	—	2	$41
🎬 Culture	—	2	$41

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	314	0.006	$2.04	$-19.91	-90.7%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	500	0.002	$0.75	$-18.73	-96.1%