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Trader leaderboard/JJJx1

JJJx1

0x5ce3c43f2b2be1b51ec5f4920acbf7340733f779
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$20
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$37
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
3W / 5L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
33%
4W / 8L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
13
across 5 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$9.97
avg win $3 · loss $23
Profit Factor
0.14
$3 won / $23 lost
Reward / Risk
0.14
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,146 · all-time $611,466

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 58.9% 93W/65L 118 $31,161
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/1L 19 $1,615
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 11 $1,196
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $1,521
₿ Crypto 2 $79
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $999
⚽ Sports 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $11

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

120 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat? Yes 3,413 0.895 $3,054.61 $846.36 +38.3%
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? No 1,675 0.790 $1,323.11 $2.94 +0.2%
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling? No 1,414 0.905 $1,279.24 $373.81 +41.3%
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%? Yes 917 0.985 $902.59 $146.64 +19.4%
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? Yes 912 0.904 $825.20 $9.41 +1.2%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? Yes 703 0.795 $558.72 $24.29 +4.5%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 600 0.875 $525.00 $3.00 +0.6%
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? Yes 475 0.961 $456.23 $9.54 +2.1%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 856 0.460 $393.24 $386.55 +5782.0%
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%? Yes 283 0.980 $277.02 $50.99 +22.6%
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026? No 293 0.900 $263.43 $76.22 +40.7%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat? Yes 281 0.865 $242.72 $22.16 +10.0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 856 0.278 $237.48 $230.80 +3452.2%
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes 240 0.905 $216.91 $8.27 +4.0%
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No 200 0.954 $191.01 $2.00 +1.1%
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026? No 200 0.870 $174.00 $2.00 +1.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat? Yes 185 0.915 $168.84 $12.49 +8.0%
Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess? No 249 0.675 $168.08 $-8.72 -4.9%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat? Yes 177 0.880 $156.10 $32.63 +26.4%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat? Yes 176 0.865 $152.07 $12.93 +9.3%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? No 155 0.865 $134.02 $2.32 +1.8%
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027? No 147 0.865 $126.84 $0.95 +0.8%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-05 House seat? Yes 125 0.925 $115.71 $22.39 +24.0%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat? Yes 148 0.765 $112.86 $13.85 +14.0%
Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026? No 105 0.860 $90.30 $13.30 +17.3%