| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
22,944 |
0.999 |
$22,921.55 |
$27.05 |
+0.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
100,588 |
0.165 |
$16,597.01 |
$4,505.13 |
+37.3% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
17,000 |
0.866 |
$14,713.50 |
$6,213.50 |
+73.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
5,538 |
1.000 |
$5,535.63 |
$31.13 |
+0.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
13,001 |
0.381 |
$4,946.72 |
$3,546.70 |
+253.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
104,563 |
0.029 |
$2,980.04 |
$741.04 |
+33.1% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
17,000 |
0.135 |
$2,286.50 |
$-6,213.50 |
-73.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
706 |
0.955 |
$674.07 |
$17.65 |
+2.7% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
400 |
0.983 |
$393.20 |
$7.20 |
+1.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
973 |
0.245 |
$238.50 |
$-22.56 |
-8.6% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
Yes |
3,578 |
0.055 |
$196.77 |
$-196.77 |
-50.0% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 15, 2026? |
No |
205 |
0.880 |
$180.40 |
$6.35 |
+3.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
170 |
0.945 |
$160.46 |
$9.34 |
+6.2% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026? |
No |
158 |
0.885 |
$140.13 |
$10.29 |
+7.9% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 29, 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.905 |
$135.75 |
$8.25 |
+6.5% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 24, 2026? |
No |
125 |
0.850 |
$106.24 |
$2.39 |
+2.3% |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? |
No |
100 |
0.964 |
$96.36 |
$19.35 |
+25.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? |
Yes |
11,222 |
0.004 |
$50.50 |
$-256.50 |
-83.6% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.024 |
$48.00 |
$-66.00 |
-57.9% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
3,062 |
0.013 |
$41.33 |
$-157.72 |
-79.2% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 18, 2026? |
No |
48 |
0.825 |
$39.40 |
$-0.72 |
-1.8% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 1, 2026? |
Yes |
47 |
0.039 |
$1.85 |
$-40.41 |
-95.6% |