PnL (30d)

−$83

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$20

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-12.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

51%

202W / 194L · 8 open

Win Return (30d)

52%

210W / 194L

Trades (30d)

404

across 82 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$1.09

avg win $6 · loss $34

Profit Factor

0.82

$387 won / $470 lost

Reward / Risk

0.19

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	51.0% 202W/194L	82	$1,292
🏛 Politics	100.0% 15W/0L	12	$55
🎬 Culture	100.0% 15W/0L	12	$55

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,600	0.415	$664.00	$602.46	+979.0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,600	0.245	$392.00	$330.46	+537.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,600	0.179	$287.20	$-512.80	-64.1%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,600	0.075	$120.00	$58.46	+95.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,600	0.021	$33.60	$-27.94	-45.4%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,600	0.018	$29.60	$-31.94	-51.9%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,600	0.006	$10.40	$-51.14	-83.1%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,600	0.003	$4.00	$-57.54	-93.5%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,600	0.002	$2.40	$-59.14	-96.1%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,600	0.002	$2.40	$-59.14	-96.1%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,600	0.001	$0.80	$-60.74	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,600	0.001	$0.80	$-60.74	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,600	0.001	$0.80	$-60.74	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,600	0.001	$0.80	$-60.74	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,057	0.001	$0.53	$-40.13	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	651	0.001	$0.33	$-24.71	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	600	0.001	$0.30	$-22.78	-98.7%