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Trader leaderboard/discretionary

discretionary

0x5c9784bf224923c3bdba9823c1b922786d43fa05
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$35
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$194
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-10.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
40%
4W / 6L · 8 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
11W / 7L
Trades (30d)
18
across 7 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$11.72
avg win $23 · loss $29
Profit Factor
0.40
$23 won / $58 lost
Reward / Risk
0.79
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$12
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,532 · all-time $174,187

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.2% 61W/77L 48 $36,696
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/5L 4 $349
🎬 Culture 3 $524
⚽ Sports 2 $63

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Emiliano Martinez join Bayern Munich? No 480 0.993 $476.17 $102.82 +27.5%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No 732 0.635 $464.66 $3.66 +0.8%
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? No 395 0.986 $388.97 $74.31 +23.6%
Will Emiliano Martinez join Manchester United? No 248 0.992 $245.95 $20.95 +9.3%
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes 257 0.625 $160.91 $24.21 +17.7%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? Yes 220 0.360 $79.19 $37.40 +89.5%
Will Jannik Sinner have 15,000+ ATP Points Before 2027? Yes 407 0.175 $71.26 $-45.70 -39.1%
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes 150 0.318 $47.47 $16.22 +51.9%
Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026? Yes 32 0.973 $31.61 $4.54 +16.8%
Will Prince-Osei Owusu win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? No 13 0.968 $12.11 $1.82 +17.7%
Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by September 21, 2026? Yes 20 0.495 $9.90 $-5.70 -36.5%
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes 11 0.798 $8.56 $0.51 +6.4%
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes 63 0.073 $4.58 $-10.42 -69.5%