PnL (30d)

+$439

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$265

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

43%

92W / 120L · 144 open

Win Return (30d)

63%

226W / 130L

Trades (30d)

356

across 25 markets · ~14 per market

EV / position

+$25.84

avg win $381 · loss $374

Profit Factor

1.15

$3,433 won / $2,994 lost

Reward / Risk

1.02

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$303

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	43.4% 92W/120L	25	$37,814
🏛 Politics	100.0% 6W/0L	3	$1,238
💵 Economy	100.0% 6W/0L	2	$574
₿ Crypto	—	1	$215

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	3,077	0.540	$1,661.64	$37.49	+2.3%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?	No	1,614	0.430	$693.92	$46.32	+7.2%
Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?	No	800	0.550	$440.00	$208.00	+89.7%
Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next?	No	50	0.037	$1.87	$-14.24	-88.4%