PnL (30d)

−$66

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$163

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-97.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 17L · 17 open

Win Return (30d)

48%

16W / 17L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

34

across 13 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$8.25

· loss $8

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $66 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$51

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	0.0% 0W/17L	13	$205
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/2L	4	$55
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/2L	4	$56
🤖 Tech	—	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

26 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Steve Ballmer be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	402	0.251	$100.86	$99.69	+8501.8%
Will Jensen Huang be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	377	0.251	$94.67	$92.93	+5343.5%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	6,239	0.011	$65.51	$-8.17	-11.1%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	3,170	0.014	$44.39	$33.99	+326.8%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	5,952	0.005	$29.76	$-22.27	-42.8%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	7,881	0.003	$19.70	$-45.43	-69.7%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	4,269	0.004	$19.21	$-7.93	-29.2%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	1,605	0.011	$18.46	$5.98	+48.0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	2,750	0.005	$15.12	$-3.15	-17.2%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	2,500	0.004	$10.00	$5.00	+100.0%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	5,166	0.002	$7.75	$-15.13	-66.1%
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	Yes	140	0.050	$7.00	$-8.80	-55.7%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	60	0.085	$5.10	$-3.90	-43.3%
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	1,267	0.004	$4.44	$-0.96	-17.8%
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?	Yes	1,049	0.004	$4.20	$-4.20	-50.0%
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	2,500	0.002	$3.75	$-1.25	-25.0%
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?	Yes	566	0.004	$2.26	$-0.57	-20.0%
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	1,500	0.002	$2.25	$-3.75	-62.5%
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?	Yes	500	0.004	$2.00	$1.00	+100.0%
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	2,500	0.001	$1.25	$-3.75	-75.0%
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	500	0.003	$1.25	$0.25	+25.0%
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	2,500	0.001	$1.25	$-3.75	-75.0%
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	2,500	0.001	$1.25	$-3.75	-75.0%
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	500	0.002	$1.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	7	0.130	$0.88	$-0.95	-51.9%