| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
2,662 |
0.785 |
$2,089.58 |
$1,066.11 |
+104.2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
2,164 |
0.745 |
$1,612.10 |
$388.06 |
+31.7% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
No |
1,432 |
0.740 |
$1,059.43 |
$307.79 |
+40.9% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,271 |
0.765 |
$972.17 |
$333.81 |
+52.3% |
| Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
535 |
0.700 |
$374.40 |
$6.87 |
+1.9% |
| Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
739 |
0.445 |
$328.70 |
$-18.46 |
-5.3% |
| Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? |
Yes |
456 |
0.675 |
$307.96 |
$16.55 |
+5.7% |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? |
No |
462 |
0.595 |
$275.18 |
$21.49 |
+8.5% |
| Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? |
Yes |
282 |
0.785 |
$221.41 |
$1.41 |
+0.6% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
391 |
0.540 |
$211.26 |
$1.76 |
+0.8% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? |
No |
347 |
0.565 |
$196.07 |
$-57.83 |
-22.8% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
206 |
0.680 |
$139.84 |
$14.39 |
+11.5% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
79 |
0.715 |
$56.45 |
$4.57 |
+8.8% |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.800 |
$6.00 |
$1.35 |
+29.0% |