| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
104,188 |
0.955 |
$99,447.55 |
$44,024.79 |
+79.4% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
65,504 |
0.935 |
$61,245.91 |
$6,107.95 |
+11.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
89,422 |
0.675 |
$60,359.94 |
$3,721.03 |
+6.6% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
59,950 |
0.977 |
$58,541.03 |
$3,631.64 |
+6.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
61,021 |
0.925 |
$56,444.43 |
$24,964.42 |
+79.3% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
29,208 |
0.957 |
$27,937.72 |
$1,807.73 |
+6.9% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
29,070 |
0.915 |
$26,599.05 |
$1,598.85 |
+6.4% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? |
Yes |
26,777 |
0.910 |
$24,366.87 |
$18,393.64 |
+307.9% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
23,765 |
0.962 |
$22,861.77 |
$1,192.40 |
+5.5% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
15,423 |
0.925 |
$14,266.65 |
$2,730.27 |
+23.7% |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
11,608 |
0.977 |
$11,341.24 |
$324.01 |
+2.9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
10,154 |
0.978 |
$9,925.53 |
$279.24 |
+2.9% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
5,997 |
0.983 |
$5,894.95 |
$203.53 |
+3.6% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5,184 |
0.930 |
$4,823.57 |
$626.50 |
+14.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5,000 |
0.775 |
$3,874.95 |
$624.99 |
+19.2% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
4,212 |
0.845 |
$3,559.30 |
$1,159.06 |
+48.3% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? |
No |
3,903 |
0.870 |
$3,395.78 |
$756.03 |
+28.6% |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? |
No |
3,574 |
0.950 |
$3,395.08 |
$344.38 |
+11.3% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
2,880 |
0.905 |
$2,606.40 |
$100.80 |
+4.0% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
Yes |
46,000 |
0.045 |
$2,093.00 |
$-20,907.00 |
-90.9% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
No |
1,108 |
0.905 |
$1,002.31 |
$27.69 |
+2.8% |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? |
No |
995 |
0.940 |
$934.97 |
$110.50 |
+13.4% |
| Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
995 |
0.880 |
$875.74 |
$139.57 |
+19.0% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Yes |
1,013 |
0.790 |
$800.60 |
$141.88 |
+21.5% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,990 |
0.325 |
$646.80 |
$-68.35 |
-9.6% |