PnL (30d)

−$224

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-115.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

11%

1W / 8L · 17 open

Win Return (30d)

44%

7W / 9L · 10 open

Trades (30d)

26

across 9 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$44.88

avg win $18 · loss $61

Profit Factor

0.07

$18 won / $242 lost

Reward / Risk

0.29

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	11.1% 1W/8L	9	$534
🏛 Politics	—	1	$50

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	170	0.298	$50.74	$0.26	+0.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50	0.866	$43.27	$18.27	+73.1%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	40	0.945	$37.80	$1.40	+3.8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	105	0.184	$19.37	$-17.38	-47.3%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	Yes	160	0.055	$8.80	$-7.80	-47.0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50	0.135	$6.72	$-18.27	-73.1%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	50	0.055	$2.75	$-19.28	-87.5%