PnL (30d)

−$54

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

30%

241W / 574L · 26 open

Win Return (30d)

30%

256W / 585L

Trades (30d)

841

across 140 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$0.41

avg win $14 · loss $6

Profit Factor

0.90

$509 won / $564 lost

Reward / Risk

2.44

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$139

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	29.6% 241W/574L	140	$5,075
🏛 Politics	21.9% 16W/57L	19	$666
🎬 Culture	21.9% 16W/57L	19	$666

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	111	0.415	$46.15	$10.15	+28.2%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	36	0.265	$9.56	$0.31	+3.4%