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Trader leaderboard/x26

x26

0x5b9115312cb4fc2b2b57c65045e611092f222709
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4,850
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$953
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-8.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
80W / 40L · 21 open
Win Return (30d)
62%
88W / 53L
Trades (30d)
141
across 21 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$440.93
avg win $503 · loss $2,958
Profit Factor
0.45
$4,025 won / $8,875 lost
Reward / Risk
0.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$8,875
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $23,555 · all-time $2,230,276

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 60.7% 187W/121L 65 $126,908
💵 Economy 42.0% 29W/40L 13 $27,718
🤖 Tech 3 $1,286
🏛 Politics 100.0% 21W/0L 2 $11,539
🎬 Culture 1 $52

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

44 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 45,000 0.909 $40,927.50 $18,427.50 +81.9%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 23,000 0.866 $19,906.50 $8,406.50 +73.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 11,000 0.790 $8,695.50 $3,195.50 +58.1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 45,000 0.090 $4,072.50 $-18,427.50 -81.9%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 23,000 0.135 $3,093.50 $-8,406.50 -73.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 11,000 0.209 $2,304.50 $-3,195.50 -58.1%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 2,000 0.935 $1,870.00 $196.01 +11.7%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 1,600 0.875 $1,400.00 $26.00 +1.9%
Revolut IPO before 2027? No 1,348 0.945 $1,273.85 $49.09 +4.0%
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? No 1,000 0.969 $968.50 $68.50 +7.6%
Amazon 2026 capex above $190B? Yes 986 0.977 $963.64 $104.93 +12.2%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.962 $961.49 $187.50 +24.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.955 $954.99 $464.99 +94.9%
Brex IPO before 2027? No 944 0.989 $932.94 $25.15 +2.8%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 630 0.977 $615.20 $157.50 +34.4%
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes 2,194 0.280 $614.19 $-1,105.45 -64.3%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 600 0.961 $576.30 $83.30 +16.9%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No 500 0.978 $488.75 $17.75 +3.8%
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? No 510 0.915 $466.63 $23.95 +5.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No 500 0.915 $457.50 $362.50 +381.6%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 500 0.835 $417.51 $116.64 +38.8%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No 400 0.957 $382.60 $56.20 +17.2%
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No 360 0.965 $347.22 $20.99 +6.4%
Canva IPO before 2027? No 358 0.955 $341.89 $64.30 +23.2%
US recession by end of 2026? No 300 0.920 $276.00 $50.05 +22.2%