MovingForward
0x5b35ce9247d3fe497e78479f6d0fa9f6bda212b3
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
66%
31W / 16L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
32W / 17L
Trades (30d)
49
across 21 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.16
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.77
$10 won / $13 lost
Reward / Risk
0.85
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,534
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
4 |
0.213 |
$0.87 |
$-0.13 |
-12.8% |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
11 |
0.075 |
$0.83 |
$-0.17 |
-16.7% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
1 |
0.665 |
$0.82 |
$-0.18 |
-17.9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
No |
27 |
0.028 |
$0.73 |
$-1.27 |
-63.3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET |
Down |
6 |
0.000 |
$0.00 |
$-5.00 |
-100.0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET |
Down |
1 |
0.000 |
$0.00 |
$-1.00 |
-100.0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET |
Up |
7 |
0.000 |
$0.00 |
$-6.00 |
-100.0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET |
Up |
5 |
0.000 |
$0.00 |
$-1.00 |
-100.0% |