PnL (30d)

+$606

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+86.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

14%

15W / 95L · 1 open

Win Return (30d)

14%

16W / 95L

Trades (30d)

111

across 20 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

+$31.88

avg win $338 · loss $26

Profit Factor

2.48

$1,015 won / $409 lost

Reward / Risk

13.22

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$132

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	21.5% 46W/168L	55	$2,876
🏛 Politics	3.4% 1W/28L	5	$263
🎬 Culture	3.4% 1W/28L	5	$263
💵 Economy	—	1	$26
🤖 Tech	—	1	$26

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	8,302	0.015	$128.67	$-4.92	-3.7%
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026?	No	64	0.840	$54.18	$3.22	+6.3%