0x5A3b863b4325C6FCEF6C80828DcA1Ddc77fEbd3b-1771846926796
0x5a3b863b4325c6fcef6c80828dca1ddc77febd3b
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$32
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-51.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
20%
6W / 24L
Win Return (30d)
20%
6W / 24L
Trades (30d)
30
across 14 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$2.27
avg win $13 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.30
$13 won / $45 lost
Reward / Risk
3.86
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,638 · all-time $365,476
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? |
Yes |
68 |
0.028 |
$1.88 |
$0.88 |
+88.0% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.005 |
$1.10 |
$0.10 |
+10.0% |