PnL (30d)

+$765

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$205

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+15.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

56%

575W / 446L · 86 open

Win Return (30d)

57%

632W / 472L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

1,107

across 175 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

+$5.20

avg win $23 · loss $65

Profit Factor

1.39

$2,710 won / $1,945 lost

Reward / Risk

0.36

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$775

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	56.3% 575W/446L	175	$10,619
🏛 Politics	46.8% 81W/92L	39	$3,309
🎬 Culture	46.8% 81W/92L	39	$3,309

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,350	0.415	$975.25	$812.17	+498.0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,350	0.245	$575.75	$436.90	+314.7%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,350	0.179	$421.82	$236.18	+127.2%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,200	0.185	$407.00	$322.39	+381.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,200	0.165	$363.00	$278.39	+329.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,200	0.155	$341.00	$256.39	+303.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,200	0.125	$275.00	$190.39	+225.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,200	0.105	$231.00	$146.39	+173.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,200	0.081	$177.10	$92.49	+109.3%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,350	0.075	$176.25	$85.87	+95.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,200	0.065	$143.00	$58.39	+69.0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,200	0.045	$99.00	$14.39	+17.0%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,795	0.028	$49.35	$-19.67	-28.5%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,850	0.021	$38.85	$-85.07	-68.6%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,602	0.018	$29.64	$-31.98	-51.9%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,464	0.019	$27.81	$-28.49	-50.6%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,325	0.007	$9.94	$-41.02	-80.5%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	949	0.006	$6.17	$-468.46	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,200	0.002	$4.40	$-80.21	-94.8%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,350	0.001	$1.18	$-89.21	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,200	0.001	$1.10	$-83.51	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,200	0.001	$1.10	$-83.51	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,200	0.001	$1.10	$-83.51	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,200	0.001	$1.10	$-83.51	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,200	0.001	$1.10	$-83.51	-98.7%