| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
17,250 |
0.980 |
$16,904.55 |
$1,023.07 |
+6.4% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
7,527 |
0.977 |
$7,350.00 |
$350.01 |
+5.0% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
6,500 |
0.935 |
$6,077.48 |
$302.52 |
+5.2% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? |
No |
6,000 |
0.925 |
$5,549.98 |
$110.00 |
+2.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,484 |
0.845 |
$1,254.33 |
$660.95 |
+111.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.885 |
$885.00 |
$95.00 |
+12.0% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? |
No |
805 |
0.870 |
$700.73 |
$102.17 |
+17.1% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? |
Yes |
8,712 |
0.080 |
$696.92 |
$-1,815.89 |
-72.3% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? |
Yes |
4,913 |
0.085 |
$417.60 |
$-893.33 |
-68.1% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
422 |
0.853 |
$359.75 |
$241.49 |
+204.2% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
390 |
0.835 |
$325.59 |
$15.83 |
+5.1% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31? |
No |
222 |
0.987 |
$218.91 |
$30.29 |
+16.1% |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.120 |
$59.99 |
$-30.41 |
-33.6% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.165 |
$0.52 |
$-0.48 |
-48.4% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.175 |
$0.51 |
$-0.49 |
-48.5% |