| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
2,346 |
0.865 |
$2,029.48 |
$68.46 |
+3.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,178 |
0.835 |
$983.47 |
$38.55 |
+4.1% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
846 |
0.948 |
$801.74 |
$-6.11 |
-0.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
770 |
0.935 |
$720.41 |
$3.85 |
+0.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
647 |
0.963 |
$623.19 |
$2.21 |
+0.4% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
No |
621 |
0.920 |
$571.38 |
$12.34 |
+2.2% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? |
No |
617 |
0.915 |
$564.50 |
$34.25 |
+6.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
583 |
0.968 |
$564.42 |
$0.88 |
+0.2% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
484 |
0.962 |
$465.71 |
$-1.18 |
-0.3% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
918 |
0.455 |
$417.60 |
$-63.87 |
-13.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
522 |
0.775 |
$404.93 |
$10.68 |
+2.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
456 |
0.885 |
$403.69 |
$17.61 |
+4.6% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
427 |
0.815 |
$347.88 |
$30.28 |
+9.5% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
Yes |
315 |
0.915 |
$288.67 |
$11.50 |
+4.1% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
306 |
0.929 |
$284.65 |
$-3.60 |
-1.2% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? |
No |
308 |
0.903 |
$278.54 |
$2.85 |
+1.0% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
284 |
0.935 |
$265.74 |
$7.94 |
+3.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
335 |
0.790 |
$264.70 |
$-3.75 |
-1.4% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
322 |
0.823 |
$264.65 |
$3.87 |
+1.5% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
280 |
0.926 |
$259.75 |
$5.07 |
+2.0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
277 |
0.925 |
$256.58 |
$-1.34 |
-0.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
260 |
0.985 |
$255.58 |
$1.95 |
+0.8% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? |
No |
257 |
0.956 |
$245.77 |
$-0.46 |
-0.2% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
258 |
0.875 |
$225.77 |
$4.24 |
+1.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
273 |
0.785 |
$214.41 |
$57.44 |
+36.6% |