PnL (30d)

−$5

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

14%

1W / 6L

Win Return (30d)

14%

1W / 6L

Trades (30d)

7

across 6 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$0.89

avg win $1 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.11

$1 won / $6 lost

Reward / Risk

0.53

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$3

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	14.3% 1W/6L	6	$7
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/3L	2	$3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	141	0.040	$5.56	$-4.44	-44.4%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	74	0.037	$2.77	$-4.23	-60.4%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	13	0.165	$2.13	$-1.87	-46.8%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	22	0.095	$2.07	$-2.93	-58.7%
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	4	0.255	$0.96	$-1.04	-51.9%
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?	Yes	5	0.040	$0.21	$-0.75	-78.1%