PnL (30d)

−$26

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$13

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

92%

858W / 73L · 912 open

Win Return (30d)

78%

910W / 254L · 679 open

Trades (30d)

1,843

across 774 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.08

avg win $0 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.52

$30 won / $56 lost

Reward / Risk

0.04

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$16

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	92.2% 858W/73L	774	$4,376
🏛 Politics	89.6% 86W/10L	163	$574
🎬 Culture	89.6% 86W/10L	162	$491
🌤 Weather	95.8% 69W/3L	59	$240
₿ Crypto	92.2% 47W/4L	26	$275
⚽ Sports	100.0% 30W/0L	18	$123
💵 Economy	84.0% 21W/4L	9	$66

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

180 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?	No	106	0.974	$103.22	$-1.77	-1.7%
Will White House post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	7	0.999	$7.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	7	0.988	$6.93	$-0.07	-1.0%
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	6	0.974	$5.89	$-0.11	-1.9%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	4	0.994	$4.14	$0.14	+3.5%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	4	0.998	$4.13	$0.13	+3.3%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	4	0.999	$4.13	$0.13	+3.3%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	4	0.999	$4.10	$0.10	+2.6%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	4	0.999	$4.08	$0.08	+2.0%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	4	1.000	$4.07	$0.07	+1.7%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	4	1.000	$4.03	$0.03	+0.7%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	4	1.000	$4.00	$0.00	+0.1%
Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	4	1.000	$4.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	4	1.000	$4.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	4	1.000	$4.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	4	0.996	$4.00	$-0.00	-0.0%
Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	4	0.999	$4.00	$-0.00	-0.1%
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	4	0.999	$4.00	$-0.00	-0.1%
Will CZ post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	4	0.998	$3.99	$-0.01	-0.1%
Will White House post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	4	0.996	$3.99	$-0.01	-0.2%
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	4	0.995	$3.98	$-0.01	-0.4%
Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	4	0.995	$3.98	$-0.02	-0.4%
Will Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	4	0.994	$3.98	$-0.02	-0.6%
Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	4	0.992	$3.97	$-0.03	-0.7%
Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	4	0.989	$3.96	$-0.04	-1.0%