PnL (30d)

+$11,637

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$308

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

56%

1,415W / 1,093L · 574 open

Win Return (30d)

53%

1,635W / 1,447L

Trades (30d)

3,082

across 10 markets · ~308 per market

EV / position

+$2,327.31

avg win $45,130 · loss $168,882

Profit Factor

1.07

$180,519 won / $168,882 lost

Reward / Risk

0.27

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$82,033

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	58.1% 4,499W/3,240L	285	$1,807,936
⚽ Sports	43.3% 42W/55L	91	$61,039
₿ Crypto	10.5% 2W/17L	13	$4,927
🏛 Politics	58.5% 594W/422L	10	$590,962
💵 Economy	58.5% 594W/422L	10	$590,962
🎬 Culture	13.3% 2W/13L	9	$4,886

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

48 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	19,867	0.105	$2,085.99	$-801.48	-27.8%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	2,578	0.585	$1,508.05	$1,455.44	+2766.5%
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	4,488	0.087	$392.70	$325.72	+486.3%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	32,554	0.009	$309.26	$-6,201.48	-95.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	19,835	0.015	$307.45	$-3,659.62	-92.2%
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	6,646	0.046	$305.70	$170.07	+125.4%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	20,886	0.015	$302.85	$-3,874.39	-92.7%
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	1,000	0.275	$275.00	$-225.00	-45.0%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	2,578	0.105	$271.97	$219.36	+417.0%
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	1,570	0.061	$96.57	$73.14	+312.1%
Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	2,500	0.037	$93.75	$56.44	+151.3%
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	1,000	0.085	$85.00	$70.08	+469.5%
Will Karolina Muchova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	2,499	0.026	$66.22	$28.93	+77.6%
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	4,578	0.013	$61.80	$-31.62	-33.8%
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	2,578	0.024	$60.58	$7.97	+15.2%
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	19,617	0.003	$49.04	$-351.30	-87.7%
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	12,200	0.004	$48.80	$-200.17	-80.4%
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	5,287	0.009	$47.59	$-60.32	-55.9%
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	10,042	0.004	$45.19	$-159.75	-77.9%
Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	971	0.043	$42.14	$27.65	+190.8%
Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	9,300	0.004	$41.85	$-147.95	-77.9%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	5,374	0.007	$40.30	$-69.36	-63.2%
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	2,578	0.015	$39.96	$-12.65	-24.0%
Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	799	0.035	$27.57	$15.64	+131.2%
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	4,396	0.005	$24.18	$-65.53	-73.0%