PnL (30d)

−$877

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$64

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-20.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

63%

38W / 22L · 17 open

Win Return (30d)

65%

50W / 27L

Trades (30d)

77

across 21 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$54.80

avg win $90 · loss $374

Profit Factor

0.53

$993 won / $1,870 lost

Reward / Risk

0.24

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	63.3% 38W/22L	21	$10,000
🏛 Politics	—	2	$159

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	15,204	0.013	$205.25	$-194.75	-48.7%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	431	0.150	$64.87	$-220.19	-77.2%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	6,787	0.007	$50.90	$-603.40	-92.2%
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	11,645	0.002	$17.47	$-110.63	-86.4%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Yes	18	0.383	$6.81	$0.94	+16.1%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	5,131	0.001	$2.57	$-14.82	-85.2%