| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
6 |
0.545 |
$3.27 |
$0.33 |
+11.2% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
9 |
0.335 |
$3.02 |
$0.23 |
+8.1% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
No |
5 |
0.515 |
$2.70 |
$-0.24 |
-8.0% |
| Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
6 |
0.425 |
$2.34 |
$0.36 |
+18.1% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.405 |
$2.23 |
$-0.74 |
-25.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.295 |
$2.21 |
$-0.79 |
-26.2% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
Yes |
8 |
0.285 |
$2.14 |
$-0.86 |
-28.8% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
Yes |
6 |
0.340 |
$2.04 |
$0.30 |
+17.2% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
Yes |
6 |
0.355 |
$1.95 |
$-0.03 |
-1.4% |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30? |
Yes |
6 |
0.355 |
$1.95 |
$-0.03 |
-1.4% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? |
Yes |
6 |
0.325 |
$1.95 |
$0.09 |
+4.8% |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? |
Yes |
7 |
0.295 |
$1.95 |
$-0.03 |
-1.7% |
| Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? |
Yes |
9 |
0.215 |
$1.94 |
$-0.85 |
-30.6% |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? |
No |
13 |
0.145 |
$1.88 |
$-1.11 |
-37.0% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.355 |
$1.77 |
$-0.12 |
-6.6% |
| Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? |
Yes |
9 |
0.175 |
$1.64 |
$-1.36 |
-45.3% |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July? |
Yes |
6 |
0.290 |
$1.59 |
$-0.39 |
-19.4% |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? |
Yes |
5 |
0.315 |
$1.57 |
$-0.28 |
-14.9% |
| Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee? |
No |
6 |
0.285 |
$1.57 |
$-0.30 |
-16.2% |
| Will XRP reach $1.20 in August? |
Yes |
6 |
0.265 |
$1.46 |
$-0.52 |
-26.4% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? |
Yes |
7 |
0.215 |
$1.42 |
$-0.56 |
-28.3% |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? |
Yes |
6 |
0.230 |
$1.38 |
$-0.36 |
-20.7% |
| Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027? |
No |
14 |
0.094 |
$1.32 |
$-1.62 |
-55.2% |
| Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.140 |
$1.19 |
$-1.70 |
-58.8% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
Yes |
8 |
0.115 |
$0.97 |
$-1.97 |
-67.1% |