HenryTheAtmoPhD
0x57ee70867b4e387de9de34fd62bc685aa02a8112
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$121
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-34.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
15%
20W / 114L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
14%
20W / 126L
Trades (30d)
146
across 34 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$3.92
avg win $16 · loss $8
Profit Factor
0.40
$81 won / $203 lost
Reward / Risk
2.09
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$14
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $159 · all-time $4,603,560
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
26.2%
173W/488L
|
152 |
$4,180 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
0.0%
0W/7L
|
2 |
$14 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
Yes |
500 |
0.029 |
$14.25 |
$-3.25 |
-18.6% |
| Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Song Yadong next? |
Yes |
200 |
0.041 |
$8.10 |
$-6.90 |
-46.0% |
| Will Geraldo Perdomo lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season? |
No |
6 |
0.998 |
$5.70 |
$5.24 |
+1147.5% |