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Trader

0x57e4bd0fa030e6a6fdde7ee0b58aa497b4f6835e
PnL (30d)
−$9,875
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,018
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-8.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
69%
57W / 26L · 171 open
Win Return (30d)
70%
177W / 77L
Trades (30d)
254
across 80 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$240.84
avg win $1,412 · loss $3,106
Profit Factor
0.79
$36,711 won / $46,586 lost
Reward / Risk
0.45
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $14,350 · all-time $2,556,879

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 68.7% 57W/26L 80 $152,710
💵 Economy 100.0% 3W/0L 27 $8,588
₿ Crypto 100.0% 2W/0L 26 $8,438
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $373

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

63 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Squid FDV above $200M one day after launch No 5,239 0.996 $5,218.27 $536.16 +11.5%
Squid FDV above $150M one day after launch No 5,300 0.978 $5,183.40 $928.94 +21.8%
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes 4,899 0.765 $3,748.03 $318.46 +9.3%
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? No 3,400 0.966 $3,284.40 $462.91 +16.4%
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 3,500 0.870 $3,044.80 $100.03 +3.4%
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? Yes 3,109 0.966 $3,001.47 $358.86 +13.6%
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes 5,060 0.515 $2,605.68 $-1,650.39 -38.8%
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No 2,473 0.875 $2,163.65 $57.28 +2.7%
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 2,342 0.900 $2,107.95 $484.34 +29.8%
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 2,209 0.950 $2,098.23 $486.05 +30.1%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 2,200 0.915 $2,013.00 $99.00 +5.2%
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No 2,400 0.835 $2,004.00 $84.00 +4.4%
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 2,220 0.865 $1,920.30 $-77.70 -3.9%
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 8,155 0.195 $1,590.19 $-2,995.48 -65.3%
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No 1,771 0.895 $1,585.34 $-8.86 -0.6%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No 1,800 0.825 $1,485.00 $45.00 +3.1%
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 1,400 0.935 $1,309.00 $147.00 +12.7%
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 2,500 0.490 $1,224.99 $-615.99 -33.5%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 1,638 0.715 $1,171.23 $15.10 +1.3%
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? No 1,600 0.665 $1,064.00 $-255.00 -19.3%
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 1,400 0.696 $973.70 $-280.20 -22.3%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 2,000 0.485 $970.00 $50.00 +5.4%
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 1,000 0.925 $925.00 $97.00 +11.7%
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch? No 837 0.943 $788.87 $53.87 +7.3%
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No 1,800 0.400 $720.00 $-491.00 -40.5%