poptree
0x57c5de7efafb020e589f80e0da6e16e9b5c907aa
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$40
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$133
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 5L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
59%
10W / 7L
Trades (30d)
17
across 3 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$40.00
· loss $40
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $40 lost
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $54,411 · all-time $18,699,146
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
510,000 |
0.540 |
$275,655.00 |
$20,655.00 |
+8.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
510,000 |
0.460 |
$234,345.00 |
$-20,655.00 |
-8.1% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
10,545 |
1.000 |
$10,539.36 |
$677.22 |
+6.9% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in July? |
No |
3,238 |
0.926 |
$3,000.25 |
$570.25 |
+23.5% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
2,413 |
1.000 |
$2,412.07 |
$216.00 |
+9.8% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
9,000 |
0.001 |
$4.50 |
$-535.46 |
-99.2% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
7,547 |
0.001 |
$3.77 |
$-449.03 |
-99.2% |