| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
15,000 |
0.540 |
$8,107.50 |
$607.50 |
+8.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
15,000 |
0.460 |
$6,892.50 |
$-607.50 |
-8.1% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
2,391 |
0.984 |
$2,352.30 |
$180.31 |
+8.3% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
2,525 |
0.855 |
$2,158.88 |
$189.38 |
+9.6% |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,834 |
0.880 |
$1,613.73 |
$91.94 |
+6.0% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
2,564 |
0.535 |
$1,372.95 |
$88.18 |
+6.9% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
No |
1,691 |
0.790 |
$1,335.78 |
$293.46 |
+28.2% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? |
Anthropic |
1,600 |
0.820 |
$1,311.98 |
$104.00 |
+8.6% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? |
No |
1,399 |
0.865 |
$1,210.37 |
$66.62 |
+5.8% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
No |
1,659 |
0.725 |
$1,202.77 |
$32.84 |
+2.8% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
1,265 |
0.885 |
$1,119.35 |
$321.15 |
+40.2% |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
Yes |
1,383 |
0.715 |
$988.91 |
$283.53 |
+40.2% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.977 |
$977.00 |
$46.00 |
+4.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
1,200 |
0.785 |
$942.00 |
$30.00 |
+3.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.940 |
$940.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? |
Yes |
1,056 |
0.889 |
$939.17 |
$25.90 |
+2.8% |
| Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.935 |
$935.00 |
$127.00 |
+15.7% |
| Trump out as President by August 31? |
No |
843 |
0.993 |
$836.90 |
$119.32 |
+16.6% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
2,161 |
0.375 |
$810.23 |
$25.80 |
+3.3% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? |
No |
830 |
0.915 |
$760.14 |
$55.76 |
+7.9% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? |
No |
666 |
0.925 |
$616.36 |
$5.43 |
+0.9% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
743 |
0.750 |
$557.25 |
$163.46 |
+41.5% |
| Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.665 |
$532.00 |
$20.00 |
+3.9% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
904 |
0.585 |
$528.79 |
$-38.30 |
-6.8% |
| Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.505 |
$505.00 |
$-115.00 |
-18.5% |