PnL (30d)

+$6

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+14.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

37%

10W / 17L · 71 open

Win Return (30d)

40%

36W / 53L · 9 open

Trades (30d)

98

across 44 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.55

avg win $5 · loss $1

Profit Factor

1.59

$16 won / $10 lost

Reward / Risk

4.25

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$5

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	37.0% 10W/17L	44	$572
🏛 Politics	20.0% 1W/4L	27	$336
💵 Economy	50.0% 2W/2L	13	$157

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	114	0.003	$0.28	$-1.88	-86.8%
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	109	0.002	$0.16	$-1.47	-90.0%
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	42	0.002	$0.08	$-3.30	-97.5%
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	3	0.015	$0.04	$-0.49	-92.1%
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	6	0.002	$0.01	$-0.03	-78.7%