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Trader leaderboard/hopedieslast

hopedieslast

0x5739ddf8672627ce076eff5f444610a250075f1a
PnL (30d)
+$1,462
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$12,112
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
48%
14W / 15L · 361 open
Win Return (30d)
76%
295W / 95L
Trades (30d)
390
across 37 markets · ~11 per market
EV / position
+$146.23
avg win $382 · loss $207
Profit Factor
2.77
$2,289 won / $827 lost
Reward / Risk
1.85
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $80,084 · all-time $10,279,801

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 48.3% 14W/15L 37 $99,914
🏛 Politics 3 $2,450

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No 38,000 0.976 $37,069.00 $5,529.00 +17.5%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes 35,264 0.930 $32,812.93 $3,428.59 +11.7%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes 46,792 0.560 $26,203.49 $-2,166.98 -7.6%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? No 8,423 0.979 $8,242.38 $206.38 +2.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 11,500 0.655 $7,532.49 $57.53 +0.8%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes 99,334 0.065 $6,456.73 $-27,948.20 -81.2%
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? No 5,000 0.950 $4,749.98 $1,540.00 +48.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 4,817 0.935 $4,504.16 $216.81 +5.1%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? No 4,500 0.978 $4,400.97 $1,731.00 +64.8%
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes 4,854 0.740 $3,591.95 $1,300.58 +56.8%
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes 20,058 0.155 $3,108.96 $-2,272.45 -42.2%
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes 24,820 0.075 $1,861.47 $-1,810.99 -49.3%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? Yes 9,050 0.185 $1,674.26 $-308.80 -15.6%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 2,990 0.495 $1,480.05 $135.15 +10.0%
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,446 0.735 $1,062.80 $362.13 +51.7%
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes 4,727 0.155 $732.68 $-831.76 -53.2%
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes 3,055 0.230 $702.63 $-4.71 -0.7%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 1,300 0.455 $591.50 $-58.50 -9.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 1,000 0.575 $574.50 $107.50 +23.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? No 1,500 0.265 $397.49 $-57.50 -12.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No 1,000 0.285 $284.90 $-245.10 -46.2%
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? No 202 0.855 $172.71 $15.15 +9.6%
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes 3,914 0.040 $156.57 $-191.02 -55.0%
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026? Yes 729 0.075 $54.70 $-54.70 -50.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 5 0.962 $4.81 $1.26 +35.5%