PnL (30d)

−$6,398

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$5,155

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-10.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

35%

222W / 411L · 230 open

Win Return (30d)

29%

249W / 614L

Trades (30d)

863

across 75 markets · ~12 per market

EV / position

−$110.30

avg win $409 · loss $276

Profit Factor

0.47

$5,726 won / $12,124 lost

Reward / Risk

1.48

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$92

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	35.1% 222W/411L	75	$122,473
🏛 Politics	—	4	$2,710

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	8,203	0.125	$1,025.33	$-574.80	-35.9%
Iran leadership change by August 31?	Yes	42,557	0.023	$978.82	$-499.37	-33.8%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?	Yes	17,962	0.013	$224.52	$-794.47	-78.0%
Israel military action against Yemen by August 31?	Yes	18	0.055	$1.02	$-1.02	-50.0%