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Trader leaderboard/redvinny

redvinny

0x56c9fbdeccf198f1f5ad95ace39b24f5f7fb0d9e
PnL (30d)
−$251,718
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$5,249
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-20.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
61%
2,559W / 1,636L · 137 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
2,657W / 1,675L
Trades (30d)
4,332
across 149 markets · ~29 per market
EV / position
−$1,864.57
avg win $1,621 · loss $8,608
Profit Factor
0.36
$144,249 won / $395,966 lost
Reward / Risk
0.19
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$43,389
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $128,849 · all-time $80,253,530

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 61.0% 2,559W/1,636L 149 $2,240,390
⚽ Sports 92.3% 192W/16L 14 $147,960
💵 Economy 5 $22,389
🏛 Politics 2 $6,961
₿ Crypto 2 $7,716
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $203
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $203

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 14,600 0.886 $12,942.90 $-59.06 -0.5%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in August? No 14,852 0.755 $11,213.12 $2,333.31 +26.3%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? No 14,916 0.700 $10,440.88 $3,265.74 +45.5%
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? Yes 12,836 0.605 $7,765.71 $64.18 +0.8%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 65,226 0.065 $4,239.71 $-3,613.28 -46.0%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 4,400 0.915 $4,026.00 $242.00 +6.4%
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? Yes 2,760 0.615 $1,697.40 $-11.24 -0.7%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 34,734 0.041 $1,406.71 $-7.68 -0.5%
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? No 2,215 0.620 $1,373.52 $-3.00 -0.2%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 2,083 0.655 $1,364.06 $5.50 +0.4%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 43,096 0.029 $1,271.34 $25.25 +2.0%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes 2,131 0.355 $756.54 $-40.86 -5.1%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $135 in August? No 836 0.580 $485.02 $-56.02 -10.4%
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No 500 0.790 $395.00 $20.00 +5.3%