PnL (30d)

−$27

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-44.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

42%

73W / 100L · 17 open

Win Return (30d)

45%

83W / 100L · 7 open

Trades (30d)

190

across 51 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.58

avg win $1 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.17

$5 won / $32 lost

Reward / Risk

0.81

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$24

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	51.8% 2,637W/2,449L	901	$2,254
🏛 Politics	55.5% 61W/49L	55	$86
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/2L	53	$70
₿ Crypto	52.1% 61W/56L	43	$99
💵 Economy	13.2% 9W/59L	37	$58
🎬 Culture	41.0% 25W/36L	37	$47
🤖 Tech	88.2% 45W/6L	10	$7
🌤 Weather	—	2	$1
🔬 Science	—	2	$1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

151 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	Yes	465	0.051	$23.95	$23.48	+5050.0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will the Detroit Tigers hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$0.50	+50.0%
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?	Yes	99	0.013	$1.34	$1.24	+1249.9%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?	Yes	715	0.002	$1.07	$0.36	+50.0%
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	647	0.002	$0.97	$0.32	+50.0%
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	620	0.002	$0.93	$0.31	+50.0%
Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	463	0.002	$0.69	$0.23	+50.0%
Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Yes	461	0.002	$0.69	$0.23	+50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	439	0.002	$0.66	$0.22	+50.0%
Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	423	0.002	$0.63	$0.21	+50.0%
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	546	0.001	$0.55	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1,000	0.001	$0.50	$-0.50	-50.0%
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1,000	0.001	$0.50	$-0.50	-50.0%
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	1,000	0.001	$0.50	$-0.50	-50.0%
Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1,000	0.001	$0.50	$-0.50	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.001	$0.50	$-0.50	-50.0%
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.001	$0.50	$-0.50	-50.0%