| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
Yes |
50 |
0.625 |
$31.19 |
$25.65 |
+462.5% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? |
Yes |
31 |
0.986 |
$30.34 |
$24.18 |
+393.0% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.915 |
$27.45 |
$12.45 |
+83.0% |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.780 |
$23.40 |
$22.46 |
+2396.0% |
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? |
Yes |
53 |
0.430 |
$22.68 |
$15.15 |
+201.0% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.695 |
$20.85 |
$10.85 |
+108.5% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
Yes |
43 |
0.480 |
$20.54 |
$15.79 |
+332.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
30 |
0.675 |
$20.25 |
$5.25 |
+35.0% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
20 |
0.865 |
$17.07 |
$13.12 |
+332.5% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
Yes |
30 |
0.510 |
$15.30 |
$11.97 |
+359.0% |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.354 |
$10.62 |
$6.33 |
+147.8% |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AIX? |
Yes |
48 |
0.220 |
$10.56 |
$8.03 |
+317.1% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.325 |
$9.75 |
$4.75 |
+95.0% |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? |
Yes |
30 |
0.320 |
$9.60 |
$6.60 |
+220.0% |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
Yes |
15 |
0.590 |
$9.12 |
$7.19 |
+372.0% |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.290 |
$8.70 |
$-6.30 |
-42.0% |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? |
Yes |
19 |
0.455 |
$8.59 |
$5.44 |
+173.0% |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? |
Yes |
58 |
0.145 |
$8.37 |
$-20.49 |
-71.0% |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI? |
Yes |
14 |
0.580 |
$8.06 |
$7.33 |
+1002.0% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
Yes |
25 |
0.320 |
$8.04 |
$-4.52 |
-36.0% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? |
Yes |
20 |
0.390 |
$7.80 |
$5.30 |
+212.0% |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI? |
Yes |
35 |
0.225 |
$7.78 |
$5.96 |
+327.5% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
60 |
0.125 |
$7.50 |
$-4.50 |
-37.5% |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? |
Yes |
36 |
0.185 |
$6.66 |
$-5.34 |
-44.5% |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? |
Yes |
25 |
0.209 |
$5.22 |
$1.65 |
+46.3% |