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Trader leaderboard/SirHarryOakes

SirHarryOakes

0x5685bf6758facce7d1221d3cc3ab0fdb836a62e2
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$231
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$166
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
94%
15W / 1L · 25 open
Win Return (30d)
71%
29W / 12L
Trades (30d)
41
across 12 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$115.65
avg win $246 · loss $14
Profit Factor
17.11
$246 won / $14 lost
Reward / Risk
17.11
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,990 · all-time $1,479,336

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 95.0% 19W/1L 13 $15,578
🏛 Politics 100.0% 15W/0L 6 $7,420

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 17,978 0.926 $16,656.87 $1,104.41 +7.1%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 16,534 0.935 $15,459.08 $359.06 +2.4%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 14,721 0.935 $13,764.53 $3,761.91 +37.6%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No 9,455 0.905 $8,556.81 $935.74 +12.3%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 7,217 0.979 $7,062.23 $912.56 +14.8%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 7,502 0.855 $6,413.85 $413.86 +6.9%
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? Yes 4,600 0.795 $3,657.13 $-68.20 -1.8%
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes 3,236 0.900 $2,912.84 $212.86 +7.9%
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No 2,978 0.905 $2,694.64 $694.64 +34.7%
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes 2,074 0.915 $1,897.43 $97.43 +5.4%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 1,250 0.845 $1,056.19 $56.19 +5.6%
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? Yes 1,083 0.975 $1,055.93 $55.94 +5.6%
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No 720 0.775 $558.38 $58.39 +11.7%
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes 592 0.895 $530.22 $30.22 +6.0%
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes 586 0.840 $492.36 $-7.64 -1.5%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes 262 0.820 $214.46 $14.46 +7.2%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes 294 0.385 $113.24 $13.24 +13.2%
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes 2 0.565 $1.23 $0.23 +22.8%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No 1 0.865 $0.98 $-0.02 -1.7%