| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August? |
No |
700 |
0.503 |
$352.38 |
$-60.62 |
-14.7% |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? |
No |
300 |
0.780 |
$234.00 |
$75.00 |
+47.2% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
No |
2,003 |
0.075 |
$150.23 |
$-107.31 |
-41.7% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? |
No |
189 |
0.585 |
$110.28 |
$-12.25 |
-10.0% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
599 |
0.165 |
$98.76 |
$11.68 |
+13.4% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? |
Yes |
255 |
0.370 |
$94.35 |
$12.65 |
+15.5% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.175 |
$70.00 |
$-22.00 |
-23.9% |
| Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? |
No |
70 |
0.810 |
$56.70 |
$-0.08 |
-0.1% |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? |
No |
113 |
0.475 |
$53.60 |
$-3.95 |
-6.9% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? |
No |
62 |
0.735 |
$45.20 |
$0.81 |
+1.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
110 |
0.375 |
$41.25 |
$-21.45 |
-34.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
Yes |
283 |
0.125 |
$35.37 |
$-60.84 |
-63.2% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
Yes |
198 |
0.165 |
$32.74 |
$-8.93 |
-21.4% |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? |
Yes |
110 |
0.204 |
$22.48 |
$-5.57 |
-19.8% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? |
Yes |
150 |
0.107 |
$16.12 |
$-7.27 |
-31.1% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? |
No |
60 |
0.255 |
$15.30 |
$-7.50 |
-32.9% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? |
Yes |
14 |
0.785 |
$10.97 |
$1.19 |
+12.1% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
Yes |
274 |
0.006 |
$1.64 |
$-10.86 |
-86.9% |