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Trader leaderboard/AlphaBetaGamma2357

AlphaBetaGamma2357

0x5652090d21c85a9d1ca5b6a41fe07f3099fb00c9
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$541
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$679
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
73%
62W / 23L · 26 open
Win Return (30d)
71%
79W / 32L
Trades (30d)
111
across 12 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
−$67.64
avg win $504 · loss $639
Profit Factor
0.79
$2,014 won / $2,555 lost
Reward / Risk
0.79
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2,846
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $180,527 · all-time $2,772,756

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 72.3% 2,573W/984L 224 $502,266
⚽ Sports 37.1% 142W/241L 36 $38,146
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/19L 9 $9,004
₿ Crypto 7 $2,689
🏛 Politics 25.5% 12W/35L 5 $12,643
🎬 Culture 38.5% 10W/16L 4 $10,049
🤖 Tech 1 $1,944

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No 14,630 0.962 $14,066.31 $1,451.89 +11.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 12,140 0.830 $10,075.84 $3,986.90 +65.5%
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? Yes 27,160 0.325 $8,827.12 $2,405.59 +37.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No 8,003 0.895 $7,163.13 $640.34 +9.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No 6,000 0.920 $5,520.00 $240.00 +4.5%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Yes 6,320 0.798 $5,046.92 $3,350.52 +197.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? Yes 4,445 0.830 $3,689.33 $1,117.55 +43.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No 4,000 0.845 $3,380.00 $180.00 +5.6%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes 5,528 0.505 $2,791.45 $243.47 +9.6%
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? No 6,658 0.400 $2,663.02 $-1,624.39 -37.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Yes 8,181 0.305 $2,495.28 $564.54 +29.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No 2,303 0.964 $2,219.04 $146.25 +7.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 2,000 0.885 $1,770.00 $170.00 +10.6%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes 3,827 0.450 $1,722.02 $329.80 +23.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 4,000 0.425 $1,702.00 $867.00 +103.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? No 2,000 0.800 $1,600.00 $400.00 +33.3%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? Yes 2,000 0.735 $1,470.00 $300.01 +25.6%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes 3,000 0.370 $1,109.99 $-609.99 -35.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? Yes 6,382 0.150 $957.34 $319.11 +50.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes 5,000 0.135 $675.00 $-825.00 -55.0%
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? No 876 0.760 $665.80 $-0.95 -0.1%
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes 1,210 0.535 $647.14 $153.73 +31.2%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes 1,938 0.260 $503.80 $19.38 +4.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 656 0.705 $462.16 $187.78 +68.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 2,144 0.175 $375.19 $75.04 +25.0%