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Trader leaderboard/fortniteplayer

fortniteplayer

0x564735dad6be7134f551baed03769f2402cede1d
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$61
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-8.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
32%
217W / 465L · 36 open
Win Return (30d)
32%
227W / 491L
Trades (30d)
718
across 212 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.31
avg win $6 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.84
$315 won / $377 lost
Reward / Risk
2.03
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$88
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,434 · all-time $1,979,932

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 36.6% 1,504W/2,606L 1070 $10,475
🌤 Weather 32.5% 209W/434L 186 $959

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

119 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 588 0.101 $59.12 $49.12 +491.2%
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes 672 0.055 $36.98 $-13.02 -26.0%
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes 182 0.170 $30.91 $-29.09 -48.5%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? Yes 500 0.055 $27.50 $-2.50 -8.3%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 1,200 0.017 $20.40 $-9.60 -32.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? Yes 15 1.000 $14.99 $10.19 +212.3%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5? Yes 14 1.000 $14.23 $9.52 +201.9%
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes 1,063 0.013 $13.28 $-21.72 -62.0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 5? Yes 13 1.000 $12.99 $4.06 +45.5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 5? Yes 12 0.996 $12.36 $8.41 +213.0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 417 0.029 $12.29 $2.29 +22.9%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? Yes 12 1.000 $11.99 $8.99 +299.8%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? Yes 11 0.998 $11.26 $8.58 +319.8%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? Yes 10 1.000 $9.99 $1.09 +12.3%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? Yes 10 1.000 $9.99 $7.49 +299.8%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5? Yes 10 1.000 $9.99 $7.39 +284.4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5? Yes 10 1.000 $9.99 $7.89 +376.0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5? Yes 10 1.000 $9.99 $0.84 +9.2%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 5? Yes 10 1.000 $9.99 $6.69 +202.9%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 5? Yes 11 0.770 $8.70 $6.10 +234.8%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 5? Yes 10 0.795 $7.95 $5.10 +178.9%
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? Yes 273 0.028 $7.50 $-22.50 -75.0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 5? Yes 7 1.000 $6.60 $1.05 +19.0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? Yes 10 0.635 $6.35 $3.45 +119.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5? Yes 13 0.485 $6.07 $1.56 +34.7%