Log in
Trader leaderboard/pangia

pangia

0x56051e11c1ab7ccdd513fc4879f1b4a082b9a9ef
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$447
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$603
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
91%
121W / 12L · 42 open
Win Return (30d)
83%
144W / 30L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
175
across 36 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$16.56
avg win $35 · loss $132
Profit Factor
2.13
$843 won / $396 lost
Reward / Risk
0.27
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $49,482 · all-time $1,205,863

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 89.0% 816W/101L 200 $348,704
🏛 Politics 100.0% 12W/0L 9 $3,021
💵 Economy 100.0% 7W/0L 4 $1,996
₿ Crypto 3 $751
⚽ Sports 2 $162
🎬 Culture 2 $151

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? No 2,385 0.964 $2,297.97 $49.67 +2.2%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 2,341 0.940 $2,200.53 $254.10 +13.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? No 1,000 0.956 $955.50 $35.50 +3.9%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? No 1,032 0.890 $918.48 $206.40 +29.0%
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes 544 0.935 $508.64 $-2.72 -0.5%
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 538 0.945 $508.41 $13.45 +2.7%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? No 400 0.940 $376.00 $16.00 +4.4%
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 265 0.895 $237.18 $7.98 +3.5%
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 200 0.935 $186.99 $8.00 +4.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? No 208 0.855 $178.25 $8.18 +4.8%
Will Gareth Bale attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 167 0.915 $152.81 $-0.83 -0.5%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 200 0.660 $131.99 $-4.00 -2.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? No 136 0.920 $125.01 $4.08 +3.4%
Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 119 0.865 $102.94 $-0.59 -0.6%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 100 0.992 $99.15 $0.55 +0.6%
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 100 0.976 $97.55 $0.95 +1.0%
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 100 0.974 $97.40 $5.40 +5.9%
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 100 0.972 $97.15 $6.15 +6.8%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 100 0.952 $95.15 $-0.85 -0.9%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes 88 0.615 $53.98 $-4.83 -8.2%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes 42 0.675 $28.25 $0.21 +0.7%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? No 35 0.657 $22.75 $-2.99 -11.6%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Yes 19 0.800 $14.90 $-0.58 -3.7%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes 15 0.840 $12.60 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 100 0.032 $3.20 $-89.80 -96.6%