PnL (30d)

−$0

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

86%

12W / 2L · 1 open

Win Return (30d)

80%

12W / 3L

Trades (30d)

15

across 8 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.06

avg win $0 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.81

$2 won / $2 lost

Reward / Risk

0.13

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	83.0% 44W/9L	34	$289
🏛 Politics	75.0% 6W/2L	5	$58
₿ Crypto	100.0% 2W/0L	1	$7
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	10	0.953	$9.84	$-0.06	-0.6%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	1	0.976	$1.02	$0.02	+1.8%