PnL (30d)

+$23

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$160

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

21%

27W / 104L · 846 open

Win Return (30d)

8%

81W / 896L

Trades (30d)

977

across 32 markets · ~31 per market

EV / position

+$1.14

avg win $11 · loss $4

Profit Factor

1.41

$79 won / $56 lost

Reward / Risk

2.61

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	20.6% 27W/104L	32	$5,347
🏛 Politics	—	5	$563
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/4L	4	$365
💵 Economy	—	2	$53
₿ Crypto	—	1	$10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	326	0.539	$175.62	$26.33	+17.6%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	116	0.460	$53.22	$4.39	+9.0%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	46	0.865	$39.42	$2.46	+6.6%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	45	0.645	$29.24	$-0.13	-0.4%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	131	0.209	$27.50	$0.27	+1.0%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	36	0.635	$22.71	$-1.61	-6.6%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2,107	0.009	$17.91	$-1.05	-5.5%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Yes	324	0.045	$14.57	$-12.07	-45.3%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	23	0.540	$12.58	$-2.13	-14.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	64	0.184	$11.90	$-2.58	-17.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	Yes	19	0.605	$11.71	$2.03	+21.0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	13	0.723	$9.49	$-0.30	-3.0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	6	0.988	$5.93	$-0.01	-0.2%
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	Anthropic	6	0.865	$5.38	$0.43	+8.7%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	7	0.745	$4.91	$0.02	+0.4%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	86	0.039	$3.37	$-1.38	-29.1%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	592	0.005	$3.26	$-1.48	-31.3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	32	0.055	$1.75	$-3.02	-63.3%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	2,395	0.001	$1.20	$-3.59	-75.0%
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	2,348	0.001	$1.17	$-3.61	-75.5%