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Trader leaderboard/LesterDiamond

LesterDiamond

0x558f2f82cf0394c28ce3c8e117ee747aeab51a56
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$8
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$27
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
64%
47W / 26L · 296 open
Win Return (30d)
71%
259W / 108L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
369
across 85 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$0.45
avg win $16 · loss $27
Profit Factor
1.05
$173 won / $165 lost
Reward / Risk
0.57
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$59
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $21,201 · all-time $5,349,007

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 84.6% 2,485W/454L 1592 $244,180
⚽ Sports 99.1% 213W/2L 144 $59,511
🏛 Politics 74.0% 37W/13L 76 $4,911
🌤 Weather 74.1% 43W/15L 58 $1,352
🎬 Culture 88.6% 31W/4L 55 $1,205
💵 Economy 55.6% 15W/12L 45 $3,964
🤖 Tech 66.7% 8W/4L 8 $152
🔬 Science — 2 $25

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 51,551 0.790 $40,751.07 $14,975.57 +58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 51,551 0.209 $10,799.93 $-14,975.57 -58.1%
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No 64 0.996 $63.77 $0.90 +1.4%
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No 60 0.993 $59.60 $1.72 +3.0%
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 55 1.000 $55.41 $0.03 +0.1%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 55 0.989 $54.80 $0.02 +0.0%
Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July? No 55 0.976 $53.43 $-0.05 -0.1%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 110 0.461 $50.48 $-4.38 -8.0%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 55 0.905 $50.23 $0.16 +0.3%
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in July? No 50 0.997 $49.84 $0.70 +1.4%
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July? No 50 0.997 $49.84 $0.33 +0.7%
Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's US Open? No 50 0.997 $49.83 $0.22 +0.5%
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? No 50 0.996 $49.81 $0.07 +0.1%
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's US Open? No 50 0.996 $49.78 $0.03 +0.1%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? No 50 0.995 $49.76 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open? No 50 0.995 $49.74 $0.10 +0.2%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open? No 50 0.993 $49.62 $0.07 +0.2%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? No 50 0.991 $49.55 $0.07 +0.2%
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open? No 50 0.991 $49.54 $0.01 +0.0%
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open? No 50 0.991 $49.53 $0.80 +1.6%
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? No 50 0.987 $49.33 $0.21 +0.4%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? No 50 0.984 $49.21 $-0.28 -0.6%
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open? No 50 0.984 $49.18 $-0.02 -0.0%
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July? No 50 0.981 $49.07 $0.23 +0.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? No 50 0.980 $49.00 $23.68 +93.5%