PnL (30d)

−$3,596

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$198

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-14.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

40%

248W / 373L · 53 open

Win Return (30d)

38%

248W / 410L · 16 open

Trades (30d)

674

across 121 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$31.54

avg win $117 · loss $170

Profit Factor

0.64

$6,437 won / $10,033 lost

Reward / Risk

0.69

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$128

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	39.9% 248W/373L	121	$25,124
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/13L	2	$48

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	250	0.290	$72.50	$-38.70	-34.8%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?	Yes	700	0.095	$66.50	$-47.56	-41.7%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	300	0.110	$33.00	$-114.00	-77.6%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	100	0.225	$22.50	$-22.77	-50.3%
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	1,312	0.004	$5.90	$-25.54	-81.2%
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	Yes	200	0.017	$3.30	$-1.70	-34.0%