PnL (30d)

−$30

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$5

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

71%

225W / 90L · 273 open

Win Return (30d)

66%

387W / 197L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

588

across 101 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$0.48

avg win $10 · loss $48

Profit Factor

0.95

$545 won / $576 lost

Reward / Risk

0.22

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	83.3% 1,825W/365L	1126	$60,709
⚽ Sports	—	53	$1,092
🏛 Politics	—	44	$1,708
🎬 Culture	—	11	$161
💵 Economy	—	8	$458
🌤 Weather	—	8	$150
🤖 Tech	—	2	$4
🔬 Science	—	1	$0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

180 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	91	0.844	$76.64	$-4.54	-5.6%
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?	No	15	0.990	$14.85	$-0.07	-0.5%
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be less than or equal to 1.1%?	No	15	0.988	$14.82	$-0.11	-0.8%
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?	No	15	0.790	$11.85	$0.30	+2.6%
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	18	0.350	$6.30	$-1.80	-22.2%
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?	No	15	0.340	$5.10	$-1.05	-17.1%
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	401	0.001	$0.20	$-5.22	-96.3%
Will Matt Gaetz be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	395	0.001	$0.20	$-16.96	-98.8%
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	341	0.001	$0.17	$-4.44	-96.3%
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	341	0.001	$0.17	$-4.44	-96.3%
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	341	0.001	$0.17	$-4.44	-96.3%
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	341	0.001	$0.17	$-4.44	-96.3%
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	341	0.001	$0.17	$-4.44	-96.3%
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	336	0.001	$0.17	$-14.42	-98.8%
Will Jimmy Patronis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	336	0.001	$0.17	$-14.42	-98.8%
Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	305	0.001	$0.15	$-13.09	-98.8%
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	300	0.001	$0.15	$-6.52	-97.7%
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	300	0.001	$0.15	$-6.52	-97.7%
Will Mohamed Salah play in Premier League next?	Yes	100	0.002	$0.15	$-3.30	-95.6%
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	300	0.001	$0.15	$-6.52	-97.7%
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	300	0.001	$0.15	$-6.52	-97.7%
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	300	0.001	$0.15	$-6.52	-97.7%
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	300	0.001	$0.15	$-6.52	-97.7%
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	300	0.001	$0.15	$-6.52	-97.7%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	300	0.001	$0.15	$-6.52	-97.7%